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  • The paper "Using magic in the teaching of probability and statistics" by Lawrence Lesser and me has been published in Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, in a special issue on teaching statistics problems.

  • The paper "The incremental value of self-reported mental health measures in predicting functional outcomes of veterans" by Sue Eisen, Kathryn Bottonari, Mark Glickman, et al., has been accepted for publication in the Journal of Behavioral Health Services & Research.

  • I gave a talk at the New England Statistics Symposium at Harvard University on April 17, 2010, on Paired Comparison Models with Tie Probabilities and Order Effects as a Function of Strength.

  • I gave a discussion on August 1, 2010, of presentations in the Social Network Analysis: Methods and Examples session at the 2010 Joint Statistical Meetings in Vancouver, British Columbia.

  • I presented a short course on Bayesian Statistics for the Boston Chapter of the American Statistical Association on Saturday, October 30, 2010.

  • The paper "Statistical consulting with limited resources: Applications to practice" by me and five co-authors has been published in the Fall 2010 issue of Chance Magazine.

  • I have been elected the section program chair by the Section on Statistics in Sports for the 2011 Joint Statistical Meetings in Miami Beach, FL.

  • I was quoted in the Wall Street Journal in a March 4, 2011 article about the fairness of NCAA bracket construction.

  • I presented one of the keynote talks at the 2011 BCASA Statistics Career Day, on Saturday, March 12, 2011.

  • I presented the talk "Multiple Testing: Is Slicing Significance Levels Producing Statistical Bologna?" at the monthly methods seminar for the Department of Quantitative Health Sciences at the University of Massachusetts Medical School on June 21, 2011.

  • My Glicko rating system is being used by the start-up Smarterer as a means to test profiency, as described in a Boston Globe article.

  • I presented magic trick demos for statistics instruction at the 2011 US Conference on Teaching Statistics (USCOTS) on May 20, 2011, in Cary, NC. The demos were video-recorded, and will be posted on CAUSEweb.org in the near future.

  • I presented "Paired Comparison Models with Tie Probabilities and Order Effects as a Function of Strength" at the 2011 Joint Statistical Meetings on August 2, 2011, in Miami Beach, Florida.

  • I co-organized the 2011 New England Symposium on Statistics in Sports (NESSIS), held at Harvard University on Saturday, September 24, 2011. A write-up of the event appeared in the AmStat News

  • I am the program co-chair of the General Methodology section (along with Yoonkyung Lee) for the 2012 Joint Statistical Meetings.

  • I presented two featured talks (as the 2012 Bohn Scholar) at the 40th Annual Mathematics and Statistics Conference - Statistics in Sports at the Miami University of Ohio on September 28-29, 2012.

  • I have been promoted to Research Professor of Health Policy and Management at the Boston University School of Public Health, February 2012.

  • At long last, the iterative procedure in the Glicko-2 rating system has been fixed! It is now usable without fear of crashing/hanging.

  • The paper "A revealed preference ranking of US colleges and universities" by Christopher Avery, me, Caroline Hoxby and Andrew Metrick, has been published in the Quarterly Journal of Economics. A Feb 19, 2013 blog post in the Chronicle of Higher Education has a nice description of the work in the paper. Also, I have been quoted in a Feb 24, 2013 article in the Daily Californian about the paper, as well as a Feb 26, 2013 Boston University Daily Free Press article.

  • I was quoted in a June 14, 2013 Wall Street Journal article on statistical issues with the NSA's Prism program to collect data on electronic communications.

  • I was a keynote speaker at the 4th International Conference on Mathematics in Sport in Leuven, Belgium, June 5-7, 2013.

  • I presented Assessing Alcohol and Drug Use Following Return from Deployment to Iraq or Afghanistan: A Statistical Perspective on August 5, 2013, at this year's Joint Statistical Meetings in Montreal.

  • I co-organized the 2013 New England Symposium on Statistics in Sports (NESSIS), held at Harvard University on Saturday, September 21, 2013. The conference received some advance press in the Connecticut by the numbers blog.

  • I gave the Field lecture keynote talk at the Science Atlantic Mathematics, Statisics and Computer Science Conference at the University of Prince Edward Island, Charlottetown, PE, held on October 18-20, 2013.

  • I am organizing a special issue of the Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports on predicting NCAA tournament game outcomes. A detailed call for papers has been posted on the ASA Statistics in Sports Section web site.

  • I have written an introductory note to the paper "The calculation of the results of a tournament as a maximum problem in the calculus of probabilities" by Ernst Zermelo which appears in the recently-published Collected Works of Ernst Zermelo, Vol 2.

  • I gave a talk on "A Bayesian Dynamic Model for Multi-competitor Sports" at the New England Statistics Symposium at the Harvard School of Public Health on April 26, 2014. I was also on the program committee for the conference.

  • Carl Bialik of fivethirtyeight.com wrote a nice piece on March 19, 2014 on the NCAA prediction contest I co-organized on kaggle.com.

  • I was the 2014 JSM Program Chair for the Section on Statistics in Sports of the American Statistical Association.

  • I presented Towards a Rating System for Multi-Competitor Games and Sports on August 6, 2014 at the 2014 Joint Statistical Meetings in Boston, MA.

  • The manuscript "False discovery rate control is a recommended alternative to Bonferroni-type adjustments in health studies" by me, Sowmya Rao and Mark Schultz, has been published in the Journal of Clinical Epidemiology.

  • I have a research contract with the US Olympic Committee to evaluate rating systems applied to sports outcomes of Olympic athletes.

  • I have been honored as a Fellow of the American Statistical Association. The American Statistical Association has issued a press release announcing the 2014 honorees. Boston University also announced the news.

  • I presented "Rankings in games/sports: Viewing educational institutions as tournament participants" at An Inquiry into Rankings in Education: Current Landscapes and Prospects for the Future, hosted by the American Educational Research Association (AERA). The conference took place on November 5-6, 2014, at George Washington University.

  • I was a panelist on the future of Statistics in Sports at the Future of Statistics Symposium in Boston, MA, on Saturday, December 6, 2014. The event was sponsored by the Boston Chapter of the American Statistical Association.

  • I gave an invited guest lecture on "Using Game Results to Accurately Rate Players" at the Games course (taught by Christopher Chabris) at Union College, Schenectady, NY, May 18, 2015.

  • The manuscript "A stochastic rank ordered logit model for rating multi-competitor games and sports" by me and Jonathan Hennessy has been accepted for publication in the Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports.

  • I presented the invited talk "Going downhill fast: The development of a rating system for Alpine downhill skiing and other multi-competitor sports" at the 60th World Statistics Congress - ISI2015 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on July 29, 2015.

  • I presented A comparison of probabilistic rating systems for women's beach volleyball at the 2015 Joint Statistical Meetings in Seattle, WA, on August 9, 2015.

  • I presented "A Dynamic Model for Rating Multi-Competitor Games and Sports" at the Second Annual Amherst College Sports Analytics Forum on Sunday, March 29, 2015 (postponed from Feb 15).

  • I have been awarded two grants; one from the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute (NHLBI) of the National Institutes of Health (NIH), and one from the Agency for Health Research and Quality (AHRQ). Both grants are funding studies on developing statistical models for measuring the impact of anti-hypertensive medication adherence on blood pressure levels. The NHLBI grant is aimed more at population-based inferences, whereas the AHRQ study is focused more on forecasting and the development of a clinical decision tool.

  • I was appointed Editor-in-Chief of the Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports for the 2015-2017 term. The American Statistical Association issued a press release announcing the appointment.

  • Time for a career change! I have moved to the Harvard Statistics Department as a full-time Senior Lecturer on Statistics in January, 2016.

  • I presented "Measuring the effects of time-varying medication adherence on health outcomes" at the 11th International Conference on Health Policy Statistics in Providence, RI, on October 8, 2015.

  • I co-organized (along with Harvard School of Public Health Senior Research Scientist Scott Evans) the 2015 New England Symposium on Statistics in Sports, which was held at Harvard University on Saturday, September 26, 2015. I also gave the (video-recorded) talk "A stochastic rank ordered logit model for rating multi-competitor games and sports".

  • The Imposteriors, the award-winning dance band of high-achieving academic statisticians, have had two recent gigs:

    An interview with the band members was published in the AmStat News in May 2015.

    Have us play at your weddings and Bar Mitzvahs (and statistics conferences).

  • I presented "A stochastic rank ordered logit model for rating multi-competitor games and sports" on November 2, 2015 at the Yale University Statistics Department seminar series.

  • I presented "Measuring the effects of time-varying medication adherence on health outcomes through latent states" at the 2016 ISBA World Meetings in Sardinia, Italy, on June 13, 2016.

  • I presented "Rating the Chess Rating System" as part of the 2016 Statistics and Big Data Seminar Series at the University of Rhode Island in Kingston, RI, on April 8, 2016.

  • Videos of my 2011 USCOTS talk on incorporating magic tricks into statistics courses is now posted online. (you may be sent to a page where you need to agree to terms and conditions of using the site, after which you can then select the "magic" tab)

  • The article The analytics of getting sacked: Coach firings in the National Football League by Harrison Chase and me has been published in the August 2016 issue of Significance Magazine.

  • I presented Measuring the Effects of Time-Varying Medication Adherence on Health Outcomes Through Latent States at the 2016 Joint Statistical Meetings in Chicago, IL, on August 2, 2016.

  • I presented "A Comparison of Probabilistic Rating Systems for Women's Beach Volleyball" on July 8, 2016 at the Institute for Quantitative Social Science, Harvard University, at a symposium on understanding political, economic, and athletic success at the 2016 Olympic Games. An article about the symposium appeared in the Harvard Gazette.

  • I was quoted on December 6, 2016 in an article in US News on Bayesian statistical analyses applied to news verification.

  • I was a speaker at SportCon - Sport Analytics Conference on January 10, 2017. The conference took place at the University of St. Thomas, Minneapolis. A video of the talk is now online.

  • I gave a talk about chess rating systesm at the Wellesley College Mathematics Department Colloquium on Tuesday, February 21.

  • I was quoted in the Feb 24, 2017 WIRED article The Math Behind Trump's Deportation Plan Makes No Sense.

  • I gave a talk on March 15, 2017, on the effects of time-varying medication adherence on longitudinally measured health outcomes at the International Biometrics Society (ENAR) 2017 Spring Meeting in Washington, DC.

  • I gave the Julia Wells Bower Lecture at Connecticut College on April 18, 2017.

  • I gave a discussion on "Practical Problems in Sports Analytics", an invited session at the 2017 Joint Statistical Meetings. The discussion includes various statistical summaries about the JQAS review process during my term as editor.

  • I was interviewed on Wharton Moneyball on June 21, originally aired on Channel 111 on SiriusXM, Business Radio Powered by The Wharton School. The audio for the interview is now available.

  • I gave a featured talk at the 2018 SportCon in Eden Prarie, MN, on Feb 2, 2018.

  • I gave an invited talk at the Fields Sports Analytics Workshop, at the Fields Institute in Toronto, ON, on May 24-25, 2018.

  • I gave a talk at the Cascadia Symposium on Statistics in Sports on August 3, 2018, in Vancouver, BC, on a model for paired comparisons that acknowledges that stronger competitors tie more frequently than weaker ones, and that stronger competitors may make better use of a home-field advantage. I was also part of a panel discussion on getting your work recognized in sports analytics.

  • I am one of the developers of the new Universal Rating System for chess. The project was sponsored by Grand Chess Tour, the Kasparov Chess Foundation, and the Chess Club and Scholastic Center of Saint Louis.

  • The Chapman & Hall/CRC book Handbook of Statistical Methods and Analyses in Sports, edited by me, Jim Albert, Tim Swartz and Ruud Koning, has now been published. I wrote a chapter on Estimating Team Strength in the NFL with Hal Stern.

  • The paper A comparison of rating systems for competitive women's beach volleyball has been published in a special sports statistics issue of the Italian Journal of Applied Statistics.

  • I was featured on a Stats + Stories "short story" about The Best Way to Rank Everyone. The segment went live on January 24, 2019.

  • I have been chosen to receive the 2019 US Chess Distinguished Serivce Award for a Lifetime Dedication to Chess by US Chess.

  • I presented Data Tripper: Distinguishing Authorship of Beatles Songs Through Data Science at the 2019 Joint Statistical Meetings in Denver, CO, on July 28, 2019 at 6:00pm at the Colorado Convention Center, Four Seasons Ballroom 1. The lecture is open to the public.

  • I also presented The Jury is Out: Communicating Bayesian Statistics in a Courtroom Trial at the 2019 Joint Statistical Meetings in Denver, CO, on July 28, 2019 at 2:00pm. The talk was part of an invited session Advocating, Implementing and Explaining Bayesian Analyses in Statistical Consultations.

  • I presented "Analysis of longitudinal studies with treatment by indication" at Los Alamos National Laboratories, Los Alamos, NM, on August 21, 2019.

  • I was quoted in an Electronic Gaming Monthly (EGM) article by Steven Wright on player/team match-making and the relationship to rating systems.

  • I was quoted in a New York Times piece on June 17, 2019, whether liberalizing marijuana usage laws can help address the opioid crisis.

  • Sadly, my father passed away on June 15, 2020. His obituary is posted online.

  • I have been elected to the American Statistical Association's Board of Directors for a 3-year term, starting 2019, as Council of Sections Governing Board representative.

  • The manuscript (A) Data in the Life: Authorship Attribution of Lennon-McCartney Songs by Mark Glickman, Jason Brown, and Ryan Song has been published in the inaugural issue of the peer-reviewed journal, the Harvard Data Science Review (HDSR). The print version (which will be a bundling of the first two online HDSR issues) will be ready in October. The journal graciously funded the development of several interactive demos that will be embedded within the online version on the HDSR site. The online version contains sound samples to illustrate the relevant musical concepts on which our analyses rely. The published paper reflects an improved model over that which was reported earlier in the media, and all details are included in the article. Thank you for your patience in waiting to read our manuscript. We appreciate the early feedback on our manuscript, and thank many of you (especially David Hoaglin) for noticing several typos.

    Several outlets have written public-facing stories about our publication. Some notable examples are pieces in the Financial Times and the Daily Mail. Recent interviews about this work include one appearing on WDEL.com radio. More links to come soon, including to radio and podcast interviews.

  • I gave a talk at the 2018 Joint Statistical Meetings on August 1, 2018, in Vancouver, BC, on modeling authorship of Lennon-McCartney songs. The American Statistical Association issued a press release about the work, and various articles have appeared in the news media. Last year, various articles appeared in the news media about our work. A 6-minute segment was recorded for the CBC show The Early Edition that appeared on August 1, 2018, and a 6.5-minute segment appeared on August 9, 2018, on WGBH radio in Boston. And if you are not sick of hearing my voice, there is also my interview on Science Friday on August 10, 2018, and the Stats+Stories podcast from October 18, 2018.

  • Here are a few upcoming and past talks about my Beatles authorship attribution work:

    • A presentation at the Rice University Statistics Department Colloquium in Houston, TX. POSTPONED to March 29, 2021

    • A presentation for the Boston Chapter of the American Statistical Association, taking place April 7, 2020 at 7:00pm in the Harvard University Science Center, Lecture Hall D. POSTPONED

    • A presentation at the Reed College Mathematics Department colloquium series in Portland, OR. POSTPONED to April 22, 2021

    • Pi day at the Boston Museum of Science on Saturday, March 14, 2020 at 12:30-1:00pm in Boston, MA. POSTPONED

    • A presentation at the University of Virginia Statistics Department colloquium Novermber 21, 2019, in Charlottesville, VA.

    • A presentation on Tuesday, November 5, 2019, at 5:30pm at Kensho Technologies, in Cambridge, MA.

    • A presentation at the Fall dinner of the New England Mathematical Association of Two Year Colleges on October 4, 2019, in Waltham, MA.

    • A presentation at the PRIISM seminar at New York University in Kimball Hall on September 6, 2019, in New York, NY.
  • I have been appointed to the American Statistical Association's Task Force on Statistical Significance and Reproducibility. The group's charge is to develop thoughtful principles and practices the ASA can endorse and share with scientists and journal editors.

  • I co-organized the 2019 New England Symposium on Statistics in Sports, which took place on September 28, 2019. The conference received some early press.

  • The paper Bayesian analysis of longitudinal studies with treatment by indication by Reagan Mozer and me is now posted on arXiv.org.

  • "Measuring Effects of Medication Adherence on Time-Varying Health Outcomes using Bayesian Dynamic Linear Models" by Luis Campos, me, and Kristen Hunter has been accepted for publication in Biostatistics.

  • The paper "Automated Harmonization of Bass Lines from Bach Chorales: A Hybrid Approach" by my former student Gil Wassermann and me has been published in the Computer Music Journal.

  • Dick de Veaux and I recently recorded and produced a video song parody of "Yesterday" by the Beatles as a tribute (eulogy?) to the 2020 Joint Statistical Meetings taking place online due to the pandemic.

  • The ASA President’s Task Force Statement on Statistical Significance and Replicability, co-authored by me and 14 others, has been published online in the Annals of Applied Statistics.

  • I was interviewed on WCVB channel 5 about the odds of winning the Massachusetts VaxMillions Giveaway on June 30, 2021. An article in the Boston Globe on June 17, 2021 also quoted my views on the odds of winning.

  • I was interviewed for a USA Today article published on October 5, 2021, on the Powerball jackpot lottery.

  • I have been interviewed by a few media outlets about some probabilistic (and arithmetic) issues involved with lotteries, now that the Mega Millions jackpot (as of July 26, 2022) has reached $1 billion. These include the Washington Post, Inside Edition, KDKA, the CBS TV station in Pittsburgh, KXAS, the NBC TV station in Dallas , and WCVB, the ABC TV station in Boston.

  • I presented an Introductory Overview Lecture titled Basics of measuring competitor strength and evaluating player contribution at the 2022 Joint Statistical Meetings in August.

  • The manuscript "Inferring medication adherence from time-varying health outcomes" by Kristen Hunter, me, and Luis Campos, has been accepted for publication in Statistics in Medicine.

  • I was interviewed on November 19, 2021, along with three colleagues who are outgoing members of the American Statistical Association Board of Directors, on the monthly ASA podcast Practical Significance.

  • After a 3-year gap, I have been appointed chair of the US Chess ratings committee. I have served as a member continuously since 1985, and had previously been chair 1992-2019.

  • I was interviewed for and appeared in Adam Whitaker's 90-minute documentary on chess ratings. The movie is available for viewing on YouTube.

  • I am faculty advisor to the Society of Harvard Undergraduate Magicians (SHAM). We performed a magic show for the Harvard Club of Merrimac Valley on February 25, 2023 which was videorecorded and posted on youtube. It's worth watching the whole video, but the four tricks I performed can be found at times 13:35, 25:42, 1:01:02, and 1:18:38.

  • I was interviewed by John Williams on July 14, 2023 on WGN Radio (Chicago) to discuss the Powerball lottery and what you need to know to improve your expected winnings.

  • I was interviewed for a USA Today article published on July 7, 2023 on winning strategies for the Powerball and Mega Millions lottery.

  • The manuscript "Bayesian analysis of longitudinal studies with treatment by indication" by Reagan Mozer and me has been accepted for publication in Health Services and Outcomes Research Methodology.

  • I presented "Rating competitors in games with strength-dependent tie probabilities" at the colloquium series of the Department of Statistics, Operations and Data Science at Temple University on November 4, 2022.

  • I appeared as a guest on the October 26, 2021 episode of Ben Johnson's Perpetual Chess podcast discussing chess, ratings, and chess ratings.

  • I have been funded by the science group at Chessable (click on the "View Our Active Scientific Research" banner) to analyze chess rating data to understand whether the differential performance among genders can be explained by different participation rates. Chessable wrote a blog post announcing the award. The project will involve a fresh look at earlier work carried out by me and Christopher Chabris in our 2006 Psychological Science paper.

  • I have been appointed the Chair of the American Statistical Association's Committee on Data Science and Artificial Intelligence.

  • I am the Director of Masters Program in Statistics at Harvard University. The program is open only for undergraduates wishing to finish their studies with a concurrent masters degree, as well as existing PhD students at Harvard.

  • I am the editor for the "Recreations in Randomness" column in the Harvard Data Science Review.

  • I am the founding head of the Sports Analytics Laboratory (SAL) in the Harvard Statistics Department. See the SAL web site for more details.

  • I was interviewed for the July 26 episode of the Harvard Data Science Review podcast along with Michael Schwimmer from Big League Advantage about various sports analytics topics.

  • I gave the talk "Data Tripper: Distinguishing Authorship of Beatles Songs via Data Science" on Thursday, Oct 19, 2023, at 7:00-8:00pm at the Harvard University Science Center. This is a talk I had planned for April 2020, but was postponed for obvious reasons.

  • I presented "Rating competitors in games with strength-dependent tie probabilities" at the 2023 Joint Statistical Meetings in Toronto, ON, on August 9, 2023.

  • I appeared on CBS News on August 4, 2023, being interviewed about the Mega Millions lottery.

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